Having discussed some general
topics it is time to get to some specific issues. To recap energy use will
increase as our civilisation becomes more sophisticated. Fossil fuels produce
carbon dioxide and climate is changing as a result. This change in climate
threatens life on the planet.
So what’s to be done? The
first part of the answer is to use fossil fuels better. This means burning gas
rather than coal and burning it more efficiently. It is slowly becoming clear
that it is better to use electricity because even with fossil fuels burning in
a power station is more efficient than in ( say) cars.. This is perhaps the
place to nail the lie that electric cars are zero emission. They are at the
tailpipe but if fossil fuel is burned to create the electricity then mankind
benefits only from the greater efficiency of a power station over an internal
combustion engine.
It is far from clear whether
pure electric cars or hybrid cars ( those having both electric and internal
combustion engines ) will succeed. On one hand pure electric have lower
emissions and on the other battery limitations mean that pure electric are
range limited.
This points to the great problem
with electricity. That problem is that electricity is almost ideal as a means
of energy transmission but is very difficult and expensive to store. At present
our mains electricity must be generated as it is consumed.
There have been big advances
in batteries in the past fifty years but even with that batteries are
expensive, slow to charge and only barely meet the demands upon them. This is
such a problem that in the UK we have resorted to pumped water for large scale
storage. Essentially this is a reversible hydroelectric scheme. When demand is
low water is pumped by electricity to a high storage reservoir. When demand is
high the stored water is released through turbines generating hydroelectricity.
This process inevitably loses some energy but it is the only acceptable method
at present. There is some suggestion that large batteries might help and US
Solar City are planning a 100MW battery in Australia.
As was said earlier all energy
ultimately comes from the sun. Photosynthesis powers plants and hence has
provided us with fossil fuels. However photosynthesis has a very low efficiency
which means that crop based fuels will be of limited use. Crop based fuels are
carbon dioxide neutral in the sense that the growing plant consumes carbon
dioxide which is then returned to the atmosphere when it is burnt. The carbon
necessary for all plants is taken from carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Plant
growth removes C02 from the atmosphere but all that C02 is returned when the
plant rots.
Rather than use plants as
intermediary solar electric directly turns the sun’s rays to electricity. The problem
is that solar panels are not very efficient. Over the past few years prices of
solar panels have fallen a lot but they are still quite expensive. However the
fundamental problem is that solar panels only generate in the daytime and
preferably during a sunny day.
Wind turbines have a similar
problem of intermittency ie. they only generate when the wind is blowing. It is
unclear whether wind or solar power is fully cost efficient compared to fossil
fuel power. There are indications that wind and solar are approaching cost
parity with fossil fuels after a long period when they have be subsidised by
government. These subsidies were not paid by general taxation but by taking
money from existing generators.
Because wind and solar are
intermittent there is the question of balancing supply and demand. At present
while wind and solar are a small part of total energy production this is a
minor issue but as their contribution rises it is set to become a major
problem. Managing the national electricity grid will become an issue.
At present the only known none
carbon method of steadily generating electricity is nuclear. For well rehearsed
reasons this is contentious. It is very expensive using the conventional
nuclear station. It is said that “mini nukes” built on a modular basis will be
cheaper but this is a paper exercise as
none have been built.
It is apparent that at least
some of the supply/demand balancing will demand load shedding. In its modern
form this means paying large users a fee for allowing their supply to be cut.
As the UK has very little spare capacity this already happens at peak demand.
It is possible that if
electric cars become widespread then batteries would only be recharged at times
of low demand and there is even the suggestion that car batteries could supply
at peak times. This would require complex controls but computers may make it
feasible.
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